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Urban heat is a growing concern especially under global climate change and continuous urbanization. However, the understanding of its spatiotemporal propagation behaviours remains limited. In this study, we leverage a data-driven modelling framework that integrates causal inference, network topology analysis and dynamic synchronization to investigate the structure and evolution of temperature-based causal networks across the continental United States. We perform the first systematic comparison of causal networks constructed using warm-season daytime and nighttime air temperature anomalies in urban and surrounding rural areas. Results suggest strong spatial coherence of network links, especially during nighttime, and small-world properties across all cases. In addition, urban heat dynamics becomes increasingly synchronized across cities over time, particularly for maximum air temperature. Different network centrality measures consistently identify the Great Lakes region as a key mediator for spreading and mediating heat perturbations. This system-level analysis provides new insights into the spatial organization and dynamic behaviours of urban heat in a changing climate. 

Abstract Identifying and understanding various causal relations are fundamental to climate dynamics for improving the predictive capacity of Earth system modeling. In particular, causality in Earth systems has manifest temporal periodicities, like physical climate variabilities. To unravel the characteristic frequency of causality in climate dynamics, we develop a data‐analytic framework based on a combination of causality detection and Hilbert spectral analysis, using a long‐term temperature and precipitation dataset in the contiguous United States. Using the Huang–Hilbert transform, we identify the intrinsic frequencies of cross‐regional causality for precipitation and temperature, ranging from interannual to interdecadal time scales. In addition, we analyze the spectra of the physical climate variabilities, including El Niño‐Southern Oscillation and Pacific Decadal Oscillation. It is found that the intrinsic causal frequencies are positively associated with the physics of the oscillations in the global climate system. The proposed methodology provides fresh insights into the causal connectivity in Earth's hydroclimatic system and its underlying mechanism as regulated by the characteristic low‐frequency variability associated with various climatic dynamics. 

The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is a significant component of the global ocean system, which has so far ensured a relatively warm climate for the North Atlantic and mild conditions in regions, such as Western Europe. The AMOC is also critical for the global climate. The complexity of the dynamical system underlying the AMOC is so vast that a long-term assessment of the potential risk of AMOC collapse is extremely challenging. However, short-term prediction can lead to accurate estimates of the dynamical state of the AMOC and possibly to early warning signals for guiding policy making and control strategies toward preventing AMOC collapse in the long term. We develop a model-free, machine-learning framework to predict the AMOC dynamical state in the short term by employing five datasets: MOVE and RAPID (observational), AMOC fingerprint (proxy records), and AMOC simulated fingerprint and CESM AMOC (synthetic). We demonstrate the power of our framework in predicting the variability of the AMOC within the maximum prediction horizon of 12 or 24 months. A number of issues affecting the prediction performance are investigated. 

The IPCC’s Special Report on Climate Change and Cities shows how cities must adapt to climate risks. Urban planners need to create solutions that fit each city’s needs, enhancing urban adaptability and resilience in the context of increasing climate-related risks. Sustainable urban planning, increased citizen awareness, and resilient infrastructure design are crucial in mitigating the growing impacts of climate change on human settlements. Addressing these challenges requires the integration of perspectives from diverse disciplines, including the natural sciences, social sciences, and engineering fields. This article draws on insights from a collaborative effort among experts in these areas, promoting a more coordinated and interdisciplinary approach. By bridging this expertise, we aim to advance resilience practices and awareness, fostering effective urban climate solutions in Texas and beyond. 

Abstract Global climate changes, especially the rise of global mean temperature due to the increased carbon dioxide (CO₂) concentration, can, in turn, result in higher anthropogenic and biogenic greenhouse gas emissions. This potentially leads to a positive loop of climate–carbon feedback in the Earth’s climate system, which calls for sustainable environmental strategies that can mitigate both heat and carbon emissions, such as urban greening. In this study, we investigate the impact of urban irrigation over green spaces on ambient temperatures and CO₂exchange across major cities in the contiguous United States. Our modeling results indicate that the carbon release from urban ecosystem respiration is reduced by evaporative cooling in humid climate, but promoted in arid/semi-arid regions due to increased soil moisture. The irrigation-induced environmental co-benefit in heat and carbon mitigation is, in general, positively correlated with urban greening fraction and has the potential to help counteract climate–carbon feedback in the built environment.